Social Networking
Outguess: prediction game with friends
Predict against friends. No money. Bragging rights only.
| Platform | iPhone (iOS 17+) |
|---|---|
| Price | Free, no subscription |
| Account required | No |
| Works offline | No |
| Subscription | None |
| Last updated | 2026-03-10 |
ios· Free · all features included ·By All Things AI, Inc ·Released 2026-03-10
Accessibility: Light & Dark · iPad layout · Browser version How we checked →
Use Outguess in your browser — no install. Sign in and it works right here. Everything stays in your browser; nothing is sent to our servers.Free. All features included.
No subscription, no in-app purchases, no paid tiers. Everything you see works the moment you install it.
About this app
What Outguess does
Outguess is a private predictions club for friends. Pose a question, set a deadline, send a link. Everyone weighs in with a probability. When the answer is known, Outguess shows the leaderboard by Brier score — no money, no betting, just calibrated bragging rights. What's in v1: — Pose a question: free-text question, resolution date, optional source link. — Invite by AirDrop / share sheet: the app generates a deep link a friend can open in their copy of Outguess. — Local-only ledger: each user keeps their own copy of their answers. Resolution is consensus (3+ friends agree the outcome) or one designated host marks it. — Brier-score leaderboard per group: your best forecaster, your most overconfident, your most-asked-about category. Free. No money handled, no gambling functions. Just friends.
Features
Built to be useful, not noisy.
Pose a question
Free-text + deadline + optional source.
Invite friends
Deep link via share sheet.
Leaderboard
Brier-score per friend, per group.
Why it exists
The problem
Per Agentic Economy PDF §3.6: sports concentration triggers state regulators; many users want the FUN of prediction markets without the gambling concerns. Outguess sidesteps regulatory risk by removing money entirely.
What's different
How Outguess stands out
Manifold is play-money markets (still feels like a casino). Metaculus is community-tournament (anonymous). Outguess is the small-group private club — you only see your friends.
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FAQ
Questions about Outguess
How much does Outguess cost?▾
Outguess is free. All features are included from day one — no subscription, no in-app purchases, no paid tiers. Everything you see in this listing works the moment you install it.
Where does Outguess store my data?▾
On your device. Outguess is built privacy-first: no account is required, no analytics SDKs, no third-party trackers. Nothing is uploaded to a server we control — the app works without one.
What platforms does Outguess support?▾
iOS, on iPhone and iPad. You can find the latest availability on this page.
How do I get support for Outguess?▾
Use the Support link on this page, or email support@allthingsn.com. We answer every message and keep responses on the same thread.
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